Our computer model projects a win for the Detroit Lions when they meet the Washington Commanders at Ford Field on Saturday, Jan. 18 at 8 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Lions own the seventh-ranked defense this year (20.1 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking best with 33.2 points per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders are posting 369.6 total yards per contest (seventh-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL on defense (326.9 total yards given up per game).

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Commanders vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Commanders based on the moneyline is 20.0%.
• Washington compiled a 10-7-0 ATS record in the regular season, and is 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
• Washington games went over the point total 11 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the playoffs.
• The over/under for this game is 9.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Commanders games in the regular season (45.9).

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Lions Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Lions’ implied win probability is 84.6%.
• Detroit is 12-5-0 ATS this season.
• The Lions have been favored by 9.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
• In Detroit’s 17 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times.
• The over/under in this game is 55.5 points, 5.1 higher than the average total in Lions games this season (postseason included).

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Commanders vs. Lions 2024 Scoring Insights

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