A win by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Washington Commanders is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Jan. 12 at 8 p.m. ET (at Raymond James Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, keep scrolling.

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The Buccaneers rank 18th in total defense this year (341.8 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 399.5 total yards per game. The Commanders’ offensive attack has been leading the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 28.5 points per contest. In terms of defense, they are ceding 23.0 points per game, which ranks 18th.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 42.6% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
• Washington is 10-7-0 ATS this year.
• The Commanders are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• In Washington’s 17 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
• Commanders games average 45.9 total points, 4.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 61.5%.
• Tampa Bay has put together a 10-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread five times this season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• A total of 12 out of 17 Tampa Bay games this season have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 50.5 points, five more than the average point total for Buccaneers games this season (playoffs included).

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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