How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 6

Published 12:43 pm Thursday, December 5, 2024

If you’re looking for best bets for the Toronto Maple Leafs’ upcoming game against the Washington Capitals on Friday at 7:00 PM ET, then you’ve come to the right place. Read on, as we provide our picks and projections for this showdown.

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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • This season, Toronto games have gone over this one’s 6-goal over/under 13 times.
  • There have been 17 Washington games with over 6 goals this season.
  • The total for this game (6) is 1.2 less than the combined scoring averages for the Maple Leafs (3.08) and Capitals (4.08).
  • These two teams concede a combined 5.4 goals per game, 0.6 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -150

  • In the 19 times this season the Maple Leafs have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 12-7 in those games.
  • Toronto is 7-4 (winning 63.6% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -150 or shorter.
  • Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 60.0%.

Capitals Moneyline: +125

  • Washington has 11 wins when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (which has happened 16 times).
  • The Capitals have seven victories in games with moneyline odds of +125 or longer (in 10 chances).
  • Washington’s implied probability to win this matchup is 44.4% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • Mitchell Marner has been important to Toronto’s offense this season, putting up 36 points in 25 games.
  • With 16 goals and 11 assists, William Nylander is one of the top offensive options for Toronto with his 27 points (1.1 per game).
  • On 80 shots (for 11 goals) and 11 assists, John Tavares has created 22 points this season.
  • Across 14 games played, Anthony Stolarz has a goaltending record of 8-4-2. During those games, he’s allowed 31 goals while recording 377 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome’s eight goals and 26 assists in 25 matchups give him 34 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Alexander Ovechkin is crucial for Washington’s offense with 25 total points (1.4 per game), including 15 goals and 10 assists through 18 contests.
  • Washington’s Connor McMichael has 24 points (14 goals, 10 assists) this season.
  • Washington’s Logan Thompson is 10-1-2 this season, amassing 347 saves and giving up 33 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .913 save percentage (13th in the league).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/30/2024 Lightning W 5-3 Away -140
12/2/2024 Blackhawks W 4-1 Home -431
12/4/2024 Predators W 3-2 Home -141
12/6/2024 Capitals Home -150
12/7/2024 Penguins Away
12/10/2024 Devils Away
12/12/2024 Ducks Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/29/2024 Islanders W 5-4 Home -152
11/30/2024 Devils W 6-5 Away +137
12/3/2024 Sharks L 2-1 Home -294
12/6/2024 Maple Leafs Away +125
12/7/2024 Canadiens Away
12/12/2024 Blue Jackets Away
12/14/2024 Sabres Home

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Toronto vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Friday, December 6, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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