Commanders vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

At Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6, the Washington Commanders take on the Cleveland Browns, kicking off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Commanders should win, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Commanders are compiling 382.3 yards per game on offense (sixth in NFL), and they rank 26th on defense with 357 yards allowed per game. From an offensive angle, the Browns are accumulating 16.5 points per contest (27th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (21.8 points allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3) Over (43.5) Commanders 37, Browns 10

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.5% in this matchup.
  • Washington has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In Washington’s four games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The average total for Commanders games this season has been 44.9, 1.4 points higher than the total for this game.

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Browns Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 42.6% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Browns have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, just one Cleveland game has hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is four points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (postseason included) of 39.5.

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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 30.3 25.5 21 18 33.3 28
Browns 16.5 21.8 16 27 17 16.5

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