Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18

Published 4:36 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025

The Atlanta Falcons will meet the Carolina Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Falcons will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons are compiling 21.9 points per game on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 20th, giving up 23.7 points per game. The Panthers have been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking second-worst in total offense (290.1 total yards per game) and worst in total defense (396.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (-8.5) Toss Up (48) Falcons 32, Panthers 15

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Panthers Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Panthers based on the moneyline is 24.4%.
  • Carolina has covered seven times in 16 games with a spread this year.
  • The Panthers have covered the spread twice this season (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs.
  • In Carolina’s 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times.
  • Games involving the Panthers this year have averaged 43.8 points per game, a 4.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 80.0%.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread six times in 16 games this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • Atlanta games have gone over the point total six out of 16 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 48 points, two higher than the average total in Falcons games this season.

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Panthers vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 21.9 23.7 22.1 21.6 21.8 25.8
Panthers 18.6 31 21.1 28.1 15.3 34.7

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