Our computer model projects a win for the Washington Commanders when they face the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Commanders sport the ninth-ranked defense this year (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fourth-best with 375.9 yards per game. The Cowboys’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, conceding 27.8 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 21st with 20.7 points per contest.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 75.0% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Washington has put together a 10-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Commanders have covered the spread once when favored by 6.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• A total of 11 out of 16 Washington games this season have hit the over.
• The average total for Commanders games this season (postseason included) has been 46.1, 2.1 points higher than the total for this game.

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Cowboys Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Cowboys.
• Dallas is 6-10-0 ATS this year.
• The Cowboys have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• In Dallas’ 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
• The average total points scored in Cowboys games this year (44) is 1.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

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