According to our computer model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will beat the Washington Commanders when they play at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 (at 4:25 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Buccaneers compiled 313 yards per game on offense last season (23rd in NFL), and they ranked 23rd on defense with 344.2 yards allowed per game. The Commanders sported the 24th-ranked offense last season (312.8 yards per game), and they were worse on defense, ranking worst with 388.9 yards allowed per game.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Commanders, based on the moneyline, is 40.0%.
• Washington went 6-10-1 ATS last year.
• The Commanders were an underdog by 3.5 points or more 10 times last season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• Last year, 10 Washington games went over the point total.
• Last season, Commanders games resulted in an average scoring total of 43.0, which is 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Buccaneers have an implied win probability of 64.9%.
• Tampa Bay covered 11 times in 17 games with a spread last season.
• The Buccaneers covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• A total of six Tampa Bay games last season hit the over.
• Buccaneers games last season posted an average total of 41.3, which is 1.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights

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